Кадр: Sabereen news
Speaking on the Goldman Sachs Exchanges podcast on March 2, Struyven broke down the math behind the market’s reaction. Without sustained supply disruptions, Goldman Sachs estimates the fair value for Brent crude oil to be around $65 per barrel. “With the market price at $78, the market is essentially pricing an $13 per barrel risk premium,” Struyven explained. According to the firm’s models, this $13 premium perfectly aligns with the expected price impact of a 100% full closure of the Strait of Hormuz lasting for roughly one month.
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It comes down to political will to fix the problem, and Shedden admitted that is not a given, with the picture clouded by worsening economic inequality. The One Big Beautiful Bill has made it so the “very, very few at the very top gain more and more tax advantages, wealth, and…the lower and middle class aren’t really seeing a benefit.”
面对已经深度融入生活的人工智能浪潮，焦虑与抵触并非良策。教会青少年善用AI，辨明边界、拥抱真实，让AI成为成长路上的良师益友，才能帮助他们在科技浪潮中保持清醒、向阳生长，在现实世界里收获更完整、更坚韧的力量。